Washington and the press tend to focus on the moment and act as if the moment will continue unchanged, forever.
The Republican Party at a nadir in the polls. Conservative House and Senate lawmakers sent to Washington to change Washington supposedly look like fools for . . . trying to change Washington. The Washington establishment is proclaiming a “victory” for President Obama in the shutdown battle.
But the judgement that Obama has “won” assumes that the game is over. And the game is not over.
I wrote Wednesday that in fact the Tea Party was victorious in this battle, in part because its leaders in Congress had succeeded in making a stand against Obamacare and making it clear that conservatives oppose a vast entitlement that will fail.
Therefore, it only stands to reason that a desperate attempt to stop Obamacare will begin to look like a pretty good idea to the public should the program become the catastrophe conservatives are predicting.
The problem for the “victorious” Obama is that the evidence is already coming in that conservatives stood on the correct side of history.