While chart analogs provide optically pleasing (and often far too shockingly correct) indications of the human herd tendencies towards fear and greed, a glance through the headlines and reporting of prior periods can provide just as much of a concerning ‘analog’ as any chart. In this case, while a picture can paint a thousand words; a thousand words may also paint the biggest picture of all. It seems, socially and empirically, it is never different this time as these 1936 Wall Street Journal archives read only too well… from devaluations lifting stocks to inflationary side-effects of money flow and from short-covering, money-on-the-sidelines, Jobs, Europe, low-volume ramps, BTFD, and profit-taking, to brokers advising stocks for the long-run before a 40% decline.
Heis, I'm certainly no expert either, but I understand the more global uncertainty, the more investors turn to the US stock market, and the more paper money pumped into our system, the more of it goes into the stock market.
N.Y. Central Has Repaid All Government Loans The Wall Street Journal, 978 words Dec 1, 1936
It's Cash Bull Market With Little Inflation, Says Exchange Bulletin The Wall Street Journal, 169 words Dec 16, 1936
London, New York Stock Transactions Largest in Months - British Brokers Stand in Queues to Fill Orders Activity Ascribed to World Efforts to Revive Trade The Wall Street Journal, 956 words Oct 8, 1936 Growing realization that the determined international effort now being made to sweep away trade barriers will be followed by improved business conditions throughout the world brought a rush of business to the security markets in New York and London yesterday such as not been seen for months
Quote: Cedric wrote in post #11 In the good ol' days, the stock market was an accurate pre-indicator, leading the economy by 6-9 month.
It was a great indicator because mom and pop were investing their disposable income there. Now there isn't any disposable income to invest. The market is being swayed mostly by big institutional investors and to a smaller extent people shuffling spare money into anyplace that will give them a 1/4% more than the non existent returns from bank accounts.
The market has become a corrupted measure of the economy, probably by design.
"The kind of man who wants the government to adopt and enforce his ideas is always the kind of man whose ideas are idiotic." -- H. L. Mencken